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Peter Addison

Football transfer betting is betting on players and managers switching clubs during a transfer window. This page will be your guide to football transfer betting.

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Football Transfer Betting Odds 2024

Here are some of the latest football transfers odds for betting on football transfers from our selected sites for the most anticipated transfers during the summer 2024 transfer window.

Transfer Paddy Power Bet365 Betfair Copybet Coral
Victor Osimhen to sign for Chelsea 3/1 9/4 3/1 5/2 No odds
Viktor Gyokeres to sign for Arsenal 3/1 6/1 3/1 3/1 No odds
Aaron Ramsdale to sign for Newcastle 4/6 5/4 4/6 4/6 6/5
Marcus Rashford to sign for Barcelona 13/8 7/1 13/8 13/8 5/1
Michael Olise to sign for Chelsea 17/20 5/4 17/20 Evens No odds

How Football Transfer Betting Works

During the brief expanse of time known as the close season in English football, speculation about players moving clubs hots up. The transfer window in the UK opens on Friday, June 14 for clubs in the EPL and EFL, and closes at 11pm on Friday, August 30 giving clubs around ten weeks to hone their playing staff for the new season. Once the window closes no transfers are permitted until the winter transfer which runs from January 1 to February 3.

Once the season has ended and before and during the window, speculation about player transfers hots up – who will the big sides be looking to sign, which top names will be on the move and will allegedly unsettled players remain honouring their current contracts or be hunting for new employers?

UK betting sites will offer odds on player transfers for many types of player moves. The first and most common is a player moving to a specific club before the summer transfer window closes. Your bet must include the player and the club and only wins if that specific transfer is completed. If the player signs for a different club or does not move at all, then your bet loses. The same bet may be offered for managers switching clubs.

The second most popular bet is which team a player will be playing for come the end of the transfer window. This will include a number of fancied sides, plus the player’s current club. If you think a player is not going to be on the move during the window, then this bet is the one for you.

Other less common football transfers betting markets include which player will be the first to sign for a specific club, or if players will change clubs on a yes/no basis.

2024 Football Transfer Windows

In Europe, football transfer windows were made compulsory in the 2002-03 season. Prior to that, some countries already had transfer windows while others, such as the UK, did not. Before 2002 in the UK players could and did switch clubs at any time of the season up until ‘transfer deadline day’ which was only a few weeks until the end of the current term.

Teams in competitions in Europe now have two transfer windows per season – a longer term during the close season, and a shorter one at the start of each calendar year. Below are details for all the top leagues in Europe for the 2024-25 season.

League Country Summer Window Winter Window
EPL England/Wales June 14 – August 30 January 1 – February 3
EFL England/Wales June 14 – August 30 January 1 – February 3
LaLiga Spain July 1 – August 30 January 1 – February 3
Serie A Italy July 1 – August 30 January 2 – February 2
Bundesliga Germany July 1 – August 30 January 1 – February 3
Ligue One France July 1 – August 30 January 1 – February 3
SPFL Scotland June 14 – August 30 January 1 – February 3
Eredivisie Netherlands June 17 – September 2 January 2 – February 2
JPL Belgium June 15 – September 6 January 4 – January 31
LPB Portugal July 1 – September 1 January 2 – February 4

Football Transfer Betting 2024 – Players to Watch

The following players have all been deemed ‘likely to move’ during the summer transfer betting window 2024, but where? We take a look at each of these hot betting on football transfer properties in turn.

Marcus Rashford

Rashford’s non-inclusion in the England 2024 Euros squad was the right-hand bookend of a very disappointing 2023-24 season for the young Manchester United forward. After a red-hot 2022-23 season in which he scored 30 goals in 56 games, last season could be described as Rashford’s worst-ever, finding the back of the net a mere eight times in 43 games, which was two less than defensive midfielder Scott McTominay. Rashford has been linked with a move away from Old Trafford as a means of re-igniting his career, but where to?

  • Barcelona 13/8
  • Paris St-G 11/4
  • Arsenal 9/1
  • Bayern Munich 12/1

Eberechi Eze

While Rashford’s star waned last season, Crystal Palace forward Eberechi Eze’s star just got brighter and brighter. Signed from QPR in 2020, Eze had his hottest season so far at Selhurst Park last term, netting eleven goals and providing four assists. Eze’s ability to ghost past players saw him win his first England cap against Malta in May 2023. The question is, will Palace be able to keep this bright talent?

  • Tottenham H 6/4
  • Liverpool 9/1
  • Arsenal 9/1
  • Manchester U 9/1

Victor Osimhen

Nigerian Striker Osimhen is one of the most sort-after talents in world football at the moment and the Napoli hitman seems likely to be on the move over the summer, especially as his own side thought it fine to mock him on TikTok during the 2023-24 season for a penalty miss. After scoring 31 goals in 39 games in 2022-23, Osimhen couldn’t match those heights last term and so a move seems likely, but where to?

  • Paris St-G 3/1
  • Chelsea 3/1
  • Arsenal 9/2
  • Liverpool 12/1

Viktor Gyokeres

Gyokeres could be the brightest talent ever to have played in English football yet never have played for an EPL side. The young Swede spent four years at Brighton with zero appearances before making his name in the Championship with Swansea and then Coventry. Gyokeres signed for Sporting CP and transformed into one of the hottest strikers in Europe, netting a staggering 43 goals in 50 games. Despite recent surgery, Gyokeres’ stay in Portugal may be brief, but where will he end up?

  • Arsenal 3/1
  • Chelsea 5/1
  • Liverpool 6/1
  • Real Madrid 8/1

Aaron Ramsdale

The 2023-24 season must have been a surprising one for Ramsdale. He began the season as Arsenal’s number one and retained that spot despite the signing of David Raya from Brentford. But then Ramsdale was surprisingly dropped for the Spaniard, and despite many Arsenal fans insisting Ramsdale was the better keeper, Raya kept his place. Despite making the England Euros 2024 squad, it seems likely Ramsdale won’t be content playing second fiddle to Raya for much longer, but which team is likely to install Ramsdale as their number one?

  • Newcastle U 4/6
  • Atletico Madrid 13/2
  • Chelsea 7/1
  • West Ham 8/1

Michael Olise

It seems Crystal Palace could be facing a summer of struggle to keep hold of their stars, with Olise, Eberichi Eze, Jean-Phillippe Mateta and Marc Guehi all being eyed up by the top clubs. Olise enjoyed a fine season in 2023-24, and despite missing half of it due to injury, still ended up with 10 goals and six assists. He’s been considered for England many times, but can also play for France, Algeria or Nigeria internationally, but where will he be playing his club football next term?

  • Chelsea 5/4
  • Manchester U 9/2
  • Manchester C 7/1
  • Newcastle U 33/1

Kalvin Phillips

Where has it all gone wrong for Kalvin Phillips? When he was at Leeds the defensive midfielder was a England shoo-in but since a £42 million move to Manchester City, it’s been downhill ever since. He’s managed only 16 EPL games for City, a loan move to West Ham was a disaster, and nobody batted an eyelid when he wasn’t included in even the provisional England squad for the 2024 Euros. Could Phillips become another ex-England has-been like Dele Alli or Jesse Lingard, or would a new club miraculously resurrect his career?

  • Everton 5/4
  • Leeds United 4/1
  • Newcastle U 13/2
  • West Ham U 9/1

Ivan Toney

One thing’s for sure about next season, Ivan Toney won’t be playing for Brentford. Welcomed back after his eight-month ban for betting in January 2024, Toney scored four times in 16 games for Brentford and was criticised for a perceived lack of effort. Despite this, and despite only two caps, Toney was appointed Harry Kane’s understudy for England in the 2024 Euros, so a decent showing could help the striker attain what he so clearly desires – a move away from Griffin Park.

  • Arsenal 13/8
  • Tottenham H 7/2
  • Chelsea 5/1
  • Manchester U 13/2

Bruno Fernandes

The main ‘will he won’t he’ story of the 2024 transfer window is likely to surround Bruno Fernandes (if it doesn’t surround his teammate Marcus Rashford). The Portuguese international is hitting his thirties, and for the second season in succession, he won’t be playing Champions League football for Manchester United. But will he be playing UCL football for someone else and if so, who, or could a big money move to a Saudi club be too tempting an offer?

  • Barcelona 7/2
  • Any Saudi Pro League Club 7/2
  • Paris ST-G 5/1
  • Juventus 6/1

Morgan Gibbs-White

Despite playing for a side that battles relegation each season, Morgan Gibbs-White (MGW for short) is one of the EPL’s best playmakers. Last season he had ten assists, which is more than James Maddison, Bernardo Silva or Bruno Guimaraes, and is known for his defensive work too. Could MGW be swapping another likely relegation battle for a stab at UCL qualification next season, and with which side?

  • Tottenham H 4/1
  • Newcastle 4/1
  • Manchester U 10/1
  • Aston Villa 11/1

Football Transfer Betting Markets

There are usually several betting markets you can wager upon when it comes to transfer market betting. Below we list the most popular ones.

Player’s New Club at End of Transfer Window

This is the most popular market for transfer market betting. You are wagering on a player moving, and the club to which they are moving. If the player stays at their current club without transferring, then your transfer bet loses.

Player’s Club at End of Transfer Window

This is identical to the market above but includes the players’ current club. This means that you can wager on the player staying with their current employers or you can wager on them moving.

Player Changes Club Before End of Transfer Window

This is the simplest football transfer market to bet on of all – will a player move, or will they be wearing a brand-new club’s strip come the end of the window? It’s a simple yes/no bet.

Next Permanent Manager

This transfer bet is not dependent on the transfer window, as managers can be sacked or resign at any time throughout the season. Once a manager has been asked to clear their desk, betting sites will offer odds on who the next manager of a club will be. You just select who you think will be next in the firing line and wager accordingly.

Next Club (Manager)

There are managers who seem to be out of a job every summer (Jose Mourinho) yet get new jobs before the start of every season. If a manager has been given the push, some sites will offer odds on the next side that the boss will be adding to his CV.

Where to Bet on Football Transfers

Not all sites offer player transfer odds (including EPL transfer odds) on football transfers, so finding a site where you can indulge in transfer window betting may be as tough a task as a manager remaining as the manager of Watford for longer than six months. We’ve picked out three sites where you can bet on football transfers as easily as Erling Haaland scores goals!

Paddy Power

paddy power 1Paddy Power is a site that regularly offers odds on all manner of outrights, including player transfers and especially Premier League transfer betting. When we checked the site, they were offering odds on transfers for all the players we listed above, as well as Alexander Isak, Benjamin Sesko, Conor Gallagher and many others. They were also offering odds on the next manager to take the hot seat at both Manchester clubs, Brighton, Leicester City and even England. Potential wagers also included ex-Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp’s next club, and whether Erik ten Hag would be the Manchester United manager at the start of the 2024/35 season.


logo bet365 1Bet365 is usually tops for football (or ‘soccer’ as it insists on calling it) and while it does offer football transfer betting odds, it does not offer as many markets as Paddy Power. One thing we did note though – there were more choices for which club a player would end up at at bet365 than Paddy Power. For example, You could have wagered on Marcus Rashford making the switch from United to City at 100/1. Most of this site’s player odds on transfers included the player’s current side, and they also had manager markets including ‘the next manager of’ and ‘manager’s next club’.


logo betfair1Betfair is the UK’s leading spread betting site, but as a player moving or managerial appointment is a yes/no wager, how do you exchange bets on football transfer markets? Well, the answer is, you don’t! Football transfer bets at Betfair are not offered at the exchange, but you can transfer bet on the fixed odds side. The site was offering markets on at least two dozen players, and for some players (Mo Salah) it offered transfer odds for them not to sign for a new side too. Betfair was also including a number of manager specials, including who will be the next manager of Ireland, plus the next job landed by Mauricio Ponchettino.

Football Transfer Betting Tips

What’s the best way to wager on player transfer betting specials? In truth, betting on transfers too soon is a bit of a lottery, so you have to react quickly before player moves are cemented in place. Here are three quick tips.

  1. Where Do You Get Your News From?

    Transfer speculation during the transfer window is usually intensive as because there is little-to-no actual football being played, the media have to write about something. However, sports journalism these days is not what it once was and is usually nothing more taxing than a daily scan of the internet, so be careful where you are obtaining your transfer speculation from.
  2. Direct From the Horses Mouth

    The best sports journalists are freelancers who sell their stories to the highest bidder. This means they are more reliable than direct news feeds (such as local papers) as anyone can peddle made-up nonsense. It makes more sense to follow them on social media for football transfer news than look at news sites. Some top names with a high hit rate when it comes to accurate transfer news include Fabrizio Romano and Gianluca Di Marzio.
  3. Get Your Football Transfer Bets on Early

    Some transfers are shoo-ins and are telegraphed months in advance. Some recent examples include Kylian Mbappe from PSG to Real Madrid, Declan Rice from West Ham to Arsenal and Jude Bellingham from Dortmund to Real Madrid too. Look out for big-name players with only one or two years left on their current contracts and bet accordingly. Don’t worry if a site doesn’t offer specific football transfer betting odds as you can always ‘request a bet’ and see if your selected betting site will accept it.

The Biggest Football Transfers So Far

Older readers may remember the shock of the first £1 million transfer (the late Trevor Francis from Birmingham City to Nottingham Forest in 1979) but these days £1 million would only get you a top League One player! Here we take a look at the ten most expensive transfers of all time, globally.

Fee Player From To Year
£198,000,000 Neymar Barcelona PSG 2017
£163,000,000 Kylian Mbappe Monaco PSG 2018
£112,900,000 Joao Felix Benfica Atletico Madrid 2019
£107,000,000 Antoine Greizmann Atletico Madrid Barcelona 2019
£106,800,000 Enzo Fernandez Benfica Chelsea 2023
£105,000,000 Philippe Coutinho Liverpool Barcelona 2018
£100,000,000 Jack Grealish Aston Villa Manchester C 2021
£100,000,000 Declan Rice West Ham U Arsenal 2023
£100,000,000 Moises Caicedo Brighton & HA Chelsea 2023
£97,500,000 Romelu Lukaku Inter Milan Chelsea 2021

Don’t Miss the Window!

Betting on transfer speculation can be entertaining and profitable too, as the transfer odds for which club a player will end up at (or managerial moves) can be extremely decent. If you are ‘in the know’ about football transfers betting, then you could make more than a few pennies. Let’s hope that with our help you’ll become the Eric Cantona of football transfers (Leeds to Manchester U for £1.2m) and not the Ali Dia!


Can you bet on football transfers?

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Can I bet on manager moves?

What is the richest transfer in football?

Peter Addison
Peter Addison

Peter is one of the most well-known and well-respected names working in the field of online sports betting today. Having a Bachelor of Arts degree, Peter has worked for many high-profile publications in the industry, both online and in the real world. He joined the SafestBettingSites team in 2021 and has provided millions of words ever since. When not writing, Peter enjoys performing and writing music, gaming, reading and he is a massive movie buff, with a particular love of Japanese cinema and anime.